The Bullet Point Brief July 15-19
The global facts affecting your investments
Global Markets
Currencies v GBP
Commodities
Monday
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Spanish caretaker Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez reveals talks with the anti-establishment Podemos party collapse, signaling repeat autumn elections.
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Deadly Ebola outbreak in DR Congo reaches the capital Goma as first case is reported.
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New York’s July business activity rebounds the most in two years as NY Federal Reserve’s Empire state manufacturing survey rises 13 points.
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Developing market debt rises to an all-time high putting pressure on flagging global economy amid trade tensions.
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China’s economy grew the slowest in almost 26 years during Q2 with GDP at 6.2%.
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US fund manager broker commissions for trading and research halves in a decade reflecting a widening of Europe’s Mifid II transparency rules.
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Ryanair is forced to cut flights and considers closing bases as Boeing's 737 Max crisis continues and delivery of 58 aircraft gets reduced to 30.
Tuesday
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The WTO announces many US tariffs on Chinese imports don’t comply with their rules opening possibility of retaliation from Beijing.
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French environment minister Francois de Rugy resigns on allegations of spending tax payers’ money on lavish entertainment.
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Mexican president Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s plans to slash Pemex’s tax by $6.7bn seen as ‘unconvincing’ and will not prevent another ratings downgrade.
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Christine Lagarde submits resignation as MD of the IMF after being nominated as the next European Central Bank chief.
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Turkey vows to ‘illegally’ drill for gas off the coast of Cyprus, showing defiance against EU sanctions against Ankara.
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US retail sales grew more than expected at 0.4 % in June exceeding economists’ expectations of 0.1%.
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German economic sentiment indicators fall significantly.
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Ursula von der Leyen was approved narrowly as EU president but forced to depend on support from the far-right.
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UK wage growth jumps to 3.6% in the three months to May, excluding bonuses, as a 44 year unemployment low creates competition to find employees.
Wednesday
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US banks reveal mixed results as US interest rate cuts narrow the margins on lending profitability.
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G7 finance ministers are asked for to $255m to improve financial inclusion in the developing world by increasing access to digital finances.
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Facebook rejects US demands to delay launching its digital currency for being ‘a threat to users’ privacy, the banking system and national security’.
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Bank of America is forced to review growth outlook on Q2 results as expectations of a 3% increase in 2019 earnings are cut to 1%.
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The World Health Organization declares an international emergency over Ebola epidemic in DR Congo.
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An index of the biggest US rail freight stocks fell 7% after gloomy report showing signs of economic weakness.
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BHP reduces coal output from assets in Australia in the coming year looking to move from China towards Japan and Taiwan.
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London house prices drop 4.4% in the year to May 2019, higher than the 1.7% fall for the year to April.
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The price carbon credits under the EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme to cut greenhouse gas emissions hits a record €29.27.
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Renault injects EUR 128m into a JV with Jiangling Motors to gain exposure to the world’s largest electric car market.
Thursday
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Morgan Stanley reports Q2 revenues of $10.2bn, 3% lower yoy but higher than forecasts of $9.99bn.
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Japanese exports slump for a seventh month to 6.7% yoy in June, with a large drop in imports taking its trade balance back into surplus.
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South Africa’s Reserve Bank cut rates by 25 basis points to 6.5% as economy contracts.
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Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey reveals investors are most bearish since the global financial crisis.
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Investors are at their most bearish since the global financial crisis, with the trade war and downturn fears topping their list of worries, according to a closely watched survey of fund managers.
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The Australian dollar climbed as the unemployment rate held steady at 5.2%, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
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Microsoft beats earnings with revenues topping $1bn as company’s cloud and software businesses soar.
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Boeing anticipates $5.6bn drop in revenues and earnings after a $4.9bn after-tax charge for the grounding of the 737 Max, compensating airlines and delayed deliveries.
Friday
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The Federal Reserve Bank of New York clarifies speech by its president amid Wall Street criticism over rate cut “confusion”.
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The US shot down an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz after getting within 1000 yards of an American warship.
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Standard Chartered is accused of handling $56.8bn in illegal transactions with Iranian connected entities as whistleblowers bring civil case.
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Despite rising markets and assets rising to $7tn, Blackrock’s Q2 earnings drop 2% as flows into low-cost passive funds clip revenues.
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Iran seizes two foreign taking including a UK registered vessel escalating tensions between the two countries.
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Netflix stocks plunge after it loses 126,000 domestic subscribers and misses global customer growth targets of 2.3 million, the first decline since 2011.
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The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fall more than 1% for the week in their biggest weekly loss since the end of May.
The week ahead…
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UK - High street Lending, Rightmove HPI m/m. New Prime Minister to be elected with Chancellor Philip Hammond's possible resignation.
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US – HPI m/m, exisiting home sales, new home sales, durable goods m/m, goods trade balance, prelim wholesale inventories m/m, unemployment claims, durable goods orders m/m, advance GDP index.
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EU – Spanish unemployment, refinancing rate, ECB rate decision, French consumer spending. Eurozone consumer confidence Spanish acting Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez seeks backing to form a government.
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Asia - Hong Kong: June CPI, imports and exports. Malaysia: June CPI and forex reserves. Taiwan: June exports and industrial production. Thailand: imports, exports and trade balance. Singapore: June CPI and industrial production, jobless rate.